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Managing risks and growth during economic downturns

With the most recent economic data signaling the possibility of a downturn or recession in early 2023 in the U.S., it’s important to understand how an economic contraction could impact your portfolio’s performance.

Visa Spending Momentum Index

The Visa Spending Momentum Index (SMI) has introduced a Recession Probability Index that can help you evaluate how a slowdown in consumer spending might affect your business, even at the local level. Now available on the Visa Analytics Platform*, SMI is a suite of economic indicator metrics and reports that provide a granular view of consumer spending trends.

  • Powerful economic indicators that measure drivers of consumer spending in the near term

  • Timely segment and geographic spending insights to spot new trends and inform acquisition and retention initiatives

  • Insights to help grow payment volumes and increase revenue at the market level

  • Risks from potential downturns in local economic conditions

Which SMI solutions can help you with recession analysis?

Credit SMI Barometer | Monthly publication

Helps identify high opportunity areas for credit issuers. For example, these insights can help anticipate future shifts in employment trends that impact credit portfolio performance.

Debit SMI Barometer | Monthly publication

Helps identify high opportunity areas for debit issuers. For example, these insights can help predict strong income growth ahead as the business cycle starts to turn up again.

SMI Barometers are available through Visa Analytics Platform.

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